Kelly Prosser Jun 6 2024 at 3:56PM on page 3
point needed reviewing. Moreover, now that plan’s strategic policies are over 5 years
old the Council is required to identify a 5 year housing land supply against its Local
Housing Need calculated using the Standard Method in accordance with NPPF
paragraph 77.
1.8. It is noted that the Council have carried out a footnote 42 review of the relevant policies
in August 2023 and concluded that Policy DS1 does not require updating. On this
basis, the Council propose to maintain the adopted housing requirement and only make
minor changes to the development strategy through a partial update to the Local Plan.
1.9. This is however considered to be a flawed outcome. It is clear that the housing
requirement in the adopted Local Plan is now out of date and the standard method
Local Housing Need should be applied instead.
1.10. Paragraph 33 of the NPPF makes it clear that relevant strategic policies will need
updating at least once every five years if their applicable local housing need figure has
changed significantly.
1.11. Paragraph 62 of the Planning Practice Guidance (PPG) on Plan Making then states
that:
“Local housing need will be considered to have changed significantly where a plan
has been adopted prior to the standard method being implemented, on the basis of
a number that is significantly below the number generated using the standard
method, or has been subject to a cap where the plan has been adopted using the
standard method. This is to ensure that all housing need is planned for a quickly as
reasonably possible (Reference ID: 61-062-20190315).”
1.12. The PPG on Housing and Economic Needs Assessment addresses whether or not the
standard method is mandatory for strategic policy making purposes and states that:
“No, if it is felt that circumstances warrant an alternative approach but authorities
can expect this to be scrutinised more closely at examination. There is an
expectation that the standard method will be used and that any other method will
be used only in exceptional circumstances (Reference ID: 2a-003-20190220).” It is therefore clear that:
a) the standard method should be used if the adopted Local Plan requirement is
significantly below the generated figure
b) Exceptional circumstances must be demonstrated if the Council is to follow an
alternative approach and depart from the standard method, and this is to be closely
scrutinised at examination.
1.14. As a measure for considering whether the housing need has changed significantly, the
Council seeks to rely on the NPPF wording around the Housing Delivery Test which
states that there has been a significant under delivery of housing where this was below
85% of the housing requirement over the preceding 3 years. The meaning of
‘significant’ within the context of under delivery therefore means a shortfall of more
than 15% of the housing requirement over the previous three year period.
1.15. From this, the Council infer that 15% should be used as a benchmark for considering
whether the applicable housing need has changed significantly. They conclude that
the CDLP housing need is only 4.95% lower than the Standard Method Local Housing
Need.
1.16. There are a number of issues with the approach and it is considered to represent a
flawed assessment. Not only does the Council’s 15% benchmark have no basis in
policy for this specific purpose, it can in any event be established that the Council’s
Local Housing Need of 9,860 homes (493 dwellings per annum over a 20 year plan
period) is 17.4% higher than local plan requirement of 8,400 homes. This equates to
1,460 additional homes over a 20 year plan period, or an additional 584 homes over
the remaining 8 years of the current plan period. This is considered to be significant,
1.17. It appears that the Council have based their assessment in this regard on a review
carried out by Opinion Research Services (ORS) on the Council’s behalf.
1.18. The ORS review is based on mismatching figures and is not considered to represent a
reliable source of information. It states that the applicable local housing need figure
was 8,665 dwellings at the time that the Local Plan was adopted. The updated housing
need figure (Standard Method) has been calculated to be 9,094 dwellings. It therefore
concludes that there is only a difference of 429 dwellings between the two specific
figures (a 4.95% increase). It is noted however that 8,665 dwellings is not the housing requirement set out in
adopted strategic policies for the purpose of NPPF paragraph 77. The correct figure is
8,400 homes. Furthermore, 9,094 dwellings is not the Council’s LHN and contradicts
the Council’s own review document which indicates that this should be based on 493
dwellings per annum so 9,860 over a 20 year plan period.
1.20. In addition to the above, despite recognising that housing affordability is a particular
issue facing the District, the Council consider there to be little (if any) relationship
between housing supply and affordability. The Council’s August 2023 review makes it
clear that housing is less affordable in Cotswold District compared to the county,
regional and national averages. The Council states that it is keen to take action to
enable people to afford a home in the district.
1.21. The August 2023 review also points out that, based on a supply of existing planning
permissions, site allocations and windfalls, it is estimated that 1,051 affordable homes
will be delivered between 2021 and 2031, which equates to 76% of the identified need
for 1,378 affordable homes in this period. This indicates that there is likely to be a plan
period shortfall in the delivery of affordable housing.
1.22. The Council note that the standard method includes a 188 dwelling per annum (62%)
uplift to the household projections to help address the affordability of housing within
district. However, despite the Council’s stated intention of taking action to enable
people to afford a home in the district, and despite recognising that there is likely to be
a plan period shortfall in the delivery of affordable housing, the Council have chosen
not to follow the higher housing need produced by the standard method and the
significant affordability uplift that it would bring. This is considered to be perverse logic.
1.23. The Council also consider that there are arguments for setting a housing requirement
below the identified housing need due to the land constraints of the area (including
80% AONB). The Council also consider that it would be unsustainable for the housing
requirement to be higher than the identified housing need as this would result in
unsustainable rates of development for Cotswold District, which is a heavily
constrained rural area.
1.24. We consider however that these are not appropriate considerations for a footnote 42
review. These matters are based on paragraph 11a and 11b of the NPPF which relate
to the application of the NPPF’s presumption in favour of sustainable development to
plan making. Using these matters to justify a constrained housing requirement that is lower than the identified housing need would need to be fully evidenced and rigorously
tested at examination. If the Council is proposing to utilise a constrained housing
requirement this must be done through a formal review of the Local Plan and not
through a footnote 42 review.
1.25. In conclusion on this point, we dispute the whole premise against which the partial
update to the Local Plan is based upon. It is clear that the partial update is not an
appropriate response under the circumstances facing the District and instead a full
scale review of the plan is needed. In light of the higher housing need produced by the
standard method, this review would need to either allocate new sites to meet the
remaining need, or demonstrate exceptional circumstances to justify a reduced
housing requirement.
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